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Michael Carter’s Western Fair Selections: Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Best Bet - (4) SPORTY TORI - Race 10
Spot Play - (4) PERSISTANT XAMPLE – Race 6
Early Pick 4 – 1,2,6/1,2,3/3/2,4,7 $5.40
Late Pick 4 – ALL/5/ALL/4- $9.80

Race 1 - (4) SAINTSBURY LASS did not get the best trip last week; should improve with the class drop.  (1) AVICII looked good on the lead last week from the rail, expect the same kind of journey tonight.  (2) MISS OHIO has hit the board in three of her last four starts, no reason to think that will change this week.
Race 2 - (5) INSINCERITY takes a big drop in class following a couple of tough efforts.  If she can return to 2018 form, she should have no problem here.  (3) ON THE MINUTE MARK was parked the mile last week, throw that start out.  Expect some improvement from her tonight.  (6) NEW BILLIONAIRE has really turned things around since Borth took the lines over.  Look for continued improvement. 
Race 3 – (2) MIGHTY MOUSE races well when she gets a good post draw. Coulter scored the last victory aboard this mare and she could produce some value in this spot.  (1) WATT MACHS ME WIN has struggled some with the post draw, tonight is her chance to rebound leaving from the best post.  (6) EATAAMUP CASSANDRA draws tough this week, but her start last out is nothing to ignore.  If she reproduces that trip, she could be dangerous here.
Race 4 – (2) SWEET WESTERN got the perfect trip last week and was narrowly beaten at the line.  She needed that start, and she can improve here.  (3) MAE BELLE DUKE performed well last out but is another that may have just needed a start.  The inside draw can make the difference here.  (1) WARRAWEE ULLA is one of the more consistent fillies in the field.  Look for her to be a part of the pace late.
Race 5 - (3) SAULSBROOK JESSIE made up a lot of ground last week, but just had too far to come.  Look for her to be closer to the pace tonight.  (2) FRISKY BEAVER drops in class and could pop coming to the smaller track.  Mohawk Park shippers normally do well.  (8) NORTHERN BELLE has won two of her last three starts, the concern with her here is post position, I think she is viable underneath. 
Race 6 - (4) PERSISTANT XAMPLE threw in a clunker back on March 30th which was very uncharacteristic for her.  She draws well this week and looks to bounce back into form. (7) SMILE SALLY takes a class drop coming in from Mohawk Park.  Hopefully, she can improve on her last start at The Raceway.  (2) SHADOW SUE has looked sharp in both of her 2019 starts, I expect continued success against these.  (8) ALISON SEELSTER put in a better effort than what last week’s line shows.  She had a long way to come and only was beaten two lengths.  She is a player here.  (1) QALIGIRL BLUE CHIP has been hit or miss since the season started.  I think she can make the back end of the Super High-5.
Race 7 - (3) RIDE AWAY SHARK drops to face easier company this week after racing against some very nice horses in the Preferred.  Look for her to be on or near the lead.  (1) ALPHABET QUEEN is a sharp mare that frequently hits the ticket.  She draws well and that should allow her to get the trip. (7) YOUVEGOTAWAYWITHME has been continually improving over the past three weeks.  There is no reason to think she won’t be a part of the ticket. 
Race 8 - (5) HERESTOJESSICA has shown a lot of promise as of late winning three of her last five.  She will be tough to beat here. (3) SO LONG SUGAR came from off the pace last out to win by a neck.  She draws well and will most likely be coming late.  (4) QUEENOFHEARTS has been hitting the board at a good clip this season, she could provide a little value underneath.    
Race 9 - (3) CASINO CLASSIC had too far to come last week from post seven, but the effort is nothing to ignore.  She will be very tough against these.  (6) BUTTERMILK HANOVER was narrowly defeated from post seven at Flamboro last week.  The post draw puts her at a possible disadvantage again this week, but I think she will be able to handle it.  (5) WAR FILLY is another consistent mare that has been strutting her stuff as of late.  Look for her to be a part of the early pace as she could strike at big odds. 
Race 10 – (4) SPORTY TORI has won six of seven this year and hasn’t missed the board yet.  She loves London and is my Best Bet of the night.  (8) SCOTTISH LIGHT has been consistent as of late, the one time she raced from the second tier, she handled it well; worth a look.  (7) KEEP FOCUSED draws tough but has won from the outside before.  While London is a lot different than Flamboro, she is worth a play underneath.  (1) SAULSBROOK BEAUTY needed that start last week, going to give another opportunity this week to prove herself.  (9) ARTICLE ANNIE had last week off and the rest could play to her advantage.

Michael Carter is the co-host of Post Time with Mike and Mike and also is one of the USTA Social Media/Publicity Coordinators.  Carter got his start in the sport from going to the track with his father.  Carter is the former announcer at Buffalo Raceway and worked at Northfield Park prior to working at the USTA.  - JJ Zamaiko Photo


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