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Thoroughbred expert Molly Jo Rosen's Queen's Plate take

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Thoroughbred expert Molly Jo Rosen's Queen's Plate take

July 2, 2016
Thoroughbred expert Molly Jo Rosen's Queen's Plate take
Thoroughbred racing expert Molly Jo Rosen (Fillyosophy.com and thegirlhasahorse.com) gives fans the inside scoop on all 13 horses running in Sunday’s Queen’s Plate, and picks the top four finishers. You can follow Molly Jo on Twitter @MollyJoRosen


 
My take on the field…
 
1-Mike ~ 3rd-itis steps up & has speed which the rail draw should help ~ not sure I like that Moran/LeBlanc are 0-for-10
 
2-Narrow Escape ~ looking for his 3rd straight win in 2nd race back off the winter break ~ asking him to step up in only 2nd time v. winners is a tall order but Nixon’s winning at a 32% clip for a reason ~ Campbell opted to ride elsewhere, so Sheena Ryan takes the call & she’s 1-for-1 on Nixon runners
 
3-All On Red ~ that the speedster is lightly raced (& hasn’t beaten winners yet) doesn’t concern me as much as I find it interesting he only debuted in March: it says his lightbulb went on quick ~ it says a lot that Eurico opts to ride him when he probably had his pick of the field
 
4-Leavem in Malibu ~ another lightly raced one in the bunch, this time from the mighty Casse barn ~ he’s looking for his 3rd straight victory, loves the distance & proved last out that he doesn’t need a clean trip to win convincingly
 
5-Sir Dudley Digges ~ ties for most races under his girth in the field with 8 & it took him 7 to break his maiden though he’d come so close so often, then stepped up against winners for the first time in the Plate Trial & ran on strong for a horse who clearly prefers to be on the lead ~ Leparoux ships north this time (he was in the UK with Tepin when the Plate Trial ran), which signals just how much he believes in this guy
 
6-Shakhimat ~ Emma-Jayne sticks with her man, the talented son of Lonhro hasn’t quite matched the prowess he showed as a precocious 2yo but his Plate Trial run was game & he’s deadly if he gets the lead free & clear
 
7-My Name Is Jim ~ another lightly raced runner, this one is speed facing winners for the first time after breaking his maiden gamely wire-to-wire last out ~ find it interesting that Campbell takes the call for Baker since that’s not a super common angle
 
8-Rocket Plan ~ stretches out past a sprint for just the 3rd time in his 7 race career & is facing winners for just the second time after missing by only a neck last out ~ he can be his own worst enemy at times finding trouble
 
9-Cheburashka ~ speed ran a forgettable effort against open company last out & the 3 guys who’ve ridden him have all opted elsewhere
 
10-Amis Gizmo ~ tough to knock a horse who’s won 5 of his 6 career starts, with the lone line-through effort coming against open company off the layoff to start the season ~ the Plate Trial win was a nice reminder that he’s got speed but doesn’t need to flash it to win
 
11-Esposito ~ nice to see Proctor ship north & that they got this son of Ghostzapper a win over the track as a prep off the layoff ~ he’ll have to stretch past 1mi for the first time but he really hasn’t run a bad effort in his 4 career starts so far & Alan Garcia clearly gets him
 
12-Scholar Athlete ~ the other runner with the most starts (8), distance is clearly not an issue for this guy but he hasn’t been the most consistent; that said, give him a clear lead & he’s been known to run ‘em off their feet ~ nice to see Ortiz make the trip (both brothers are great jocks who should absolutely be getting more big mounts on the national scene)
 
13-Gamble’s Ghost ~ lone filly in the field lost the Woodbine Oaks by a short nose as the deserving favorite after not quite getting outta the gate clean ~ she’s been absolutely brilliant more often than not in her 7 starts & now gets a new pilot as Patrick Husbands takes over ~ in a race filled with speed & with that outside draw, she could get the absolute perfect setup with her preferred style being to sit off the pace
 
Picks: 13 - 10 - 6 - 2

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